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Governance & Lineage
Did our plan match reality? Historical hiring vs projections · variance by function & region
Did our plan match reality?
Track hiring execution against the ARIMA+OLS plan, decompose variance by function and region, and feed persistent misses back into supply forecasts.
- YTD execution: 386 actual vs 435 projected hires (-49, -11.3%).
- Largest miss: Onboarding -38 hires vs plan — primary driver of net variance.
- Model feedback: Persistent negative variance adjusts supply ARIMA and staffing gap in the capacity module.
Historical Hiring vs Projections
YTD plan vs Workday actuals — where execution missed
Projected (YTD)
435
Plan from headcount model
Actual (YTD)
386
Workday confirmed starts
Largest Gap
-38
Onboarding
Plan Accuracy
89%
Actual ÷ projected
Variance by Function
Projected vs actual hires · CO&S business lines
| Function | Plan | Actual | Var | Var % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onboarding | 180 | 142 | -38 | -21.1% |
| KYC / AML | 95 | 78 | -17 | -17.9% |
| Acct Opening | 72 | 76 | +4 | +5.6% |
| Client Service | 88 | 90 | +2 | +2.3% |
Variance by Region
Geographic execution vs hiring plan
| Region | Plan | Actual | Var | Var % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Americas | 165 | 158 | -7 | -4.2% |
| EMEA | 78 | 58 | -20 | -25.6% |
| APAC | 42 | 44 | +2 | +4.8% |
Acct Opening & Client Service ahead of plan · Onboarding largest miss (-38 hires) · EMEA -20 regional · -11.3% net vs plan
Variance Drivers
- Plan baseline: ARIMA headcount projection + OLS exogenous hire targets by function and region.
- Execution lag: EMEA KYC funnel conversion 62% vs 78% plan (illustrative) · time-to-fill 42 days vs 35-day target.
- Model feedback: Persistent negative variance feeds back into supply ARIMA and staffing gap in capacity model.
Supporting charts
Each chart includes a one-line takeaway. Click any visual for full methodology and coefficients.
Variance by function
Which CO&S workstreams over- or under-executed the hiring plan.
Variance by region
Geographic execution gaps — EMEA typically drives net miss.
Headcount bridge
Plan vs actual hires over the trailing window.